26 Jan 10 Before January is out my predictions for 2010
Apple will release a tablet in January that will be awesome (and will dominate the tablet market).
Apple will continue to dominate with the iPhone for the rest of 2010 with a new release in July that will have a significant amount of new sensor capabilities.
Facebook will continue to lose market share to Twitter, and it will become evident that they came to the Geo-tagging/ public update party far too late, and will be their biggest strategic blunder. They will still be a long way ahead by the end of 2010, but the end of their dominance will be in sight.
Google will launch into several new verticals and integrate a very large amount of "universal search" onto Google maps. Maps will start to dominate more and more of the universal search homepage, making the paid search links, and paid links on maps much more valuable.
Android still will not have the killer hardware software combination together to rival Apple, but will be well on their way to having a viable competitive product, chipping away at Apple's main weakness, lack of openness.
An African nation will make it to the final four in the World Cup (This is a long shot, but I think this is the year). Italy will win. Australia will make it through the group stage… just (I feel this may be a bold prediction as well).
E-Commerce still won't be standard for large multi-channel retailers, but the leaders will be well on their way to nailing this proposition. They will be making massive leaps ahead of the competition, but will only be a small subset of all the majors (I won't name names but I have some in mind) . Market share will be regained from the online pure plays.
The first multi passenger commercial space flight on Spaceship One (or its equivalent will have happened or will be on the verge of happening).
Mobile Internet usage will have sky-rocketed from today and for many in Australia will be the dominant form of Internet usage. It will still be a long way from a majority of the population, but it will be a clear trend that will reach saturation within 5 years.
Sony Playstation will continue to make inroads on Wii, and will release a new Wii type controller, that will be better in pretty much all aspects. This will see a divergence in the market between catering for casual and hardcore gamers (if it hasn't already happened) and Nintendo will release a new console. This will break the 10 year cycle and set Nintendo on a new path exploring casual gaming.
3D televisions will be the hot property next Xmas, as well as tablets and iPhones. (Following the World Cup broadcast in 3D).
Kevin Rudd won't be significantly challenged by Abbot as their campaigns gear up toward the end of the year. Internet Censorship will still be on the Labor agenda, and not be receiving the coverage it deserves.
News corp will still not have worked out how to monetise news - the solution will still be structured data.
Fingers crossed, let's see how it turns out.




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